#2 AFKAN | 2007-12-23 00:39
Tainter, writing in "The Collapse of Complex Societies," noted that overly rigid, archaic internal structures were the hallmark of a system that was about to be replaced by something newer, younger, faster and stronger.
In the example of the Mormon Church, going into Y2K, many people began using a new phrase to describe what is, essentially, an archaic governing system that Brigham Young would have been the first to restructure along the lines of effectiveness, writ large.
That phrase was, "The Wasatch Gerontocracy."
At what for the mossbacks was lightning speed, the Church leadership has moved to replace the ranks of the Gerontocracy with younger, more vigorous men aimed at a more desirable demographic - the future Leadership of the Church.
A LOT of effort in organizations goes to masking the fact that much of middle management hasn't earned its paycheck in far too long, being mere carriers of the flame that created the positions they hold. Externally, the organization seems strong - they are still being paid, and drawing good benefits.
The organization resembles the tree that seems strong, until the lightning bolt reveals the rotted core.
The Mormon Church Leadership senses this, on some level, and still has too much of the Gerontocracy in place to deal with the Reality the Church faces.
The same is true in the American automotive industry. Chrysler employees - not just the UAW members - had their boss use the work "bankruptcy" on Friday.
All of the reorganization games are simply moving around boxes on a organizational chart that resembles nothing so much as an autopsy...
I suspect this is more true for the current form of American governance than we would dare admit; the clear winner in the polling seems to be "None Of The Above."
The person who embodies the Solution will do very well, indeed, but it will be with an America that will be very different from the one we find ourselves living in.
Incidentally, I suspect a fundamental principle of the societal/organizational reordering will be Race, if only because it will be - MUST be - extraordinarily meritocratic.
This was true in Russia, it will be true in the Mormon Church, it will be no less true in the American auto industry, such as it is becoming.